FalconWrestling

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Everything posted by FalconWrestling

  1. FalconWrestling

    Region 1 teams

    I can say with some confidence that Graves has 0 interest in restarting their program. As for UHA with Ethan Wells now at Christian County I don’t think they even had anyone else left on the team. Also yes I know I haven’t posted rankings yet
  2. FalconWrestling

    Program Health

    So I just found out today that it appears Eastern, one of the most storied and successful programs in all of Kentucky, let alone Louisville, has dropped their program I don't want to name names and cause people to feel unjustly called out but I can think of several other programs in the Louisville area alone that are on life support and I would be surprised if we don't lose at least one more program before season start. I think the days of sitting around and grumbling about "Title IX" or "Kids aren't mentally tough" has gotten us nowhere. Well no that's incorrect, it has buried us deeper into this hole. I can think of many ideas some kind and some unkind about what would turn around the health of men's wrestling in Kentucky. But just go off of region numbers from last year, how many teams in the state even fielded a full lineup? There is literally a science about motivating kids to want to compete and engaging in the literally millennia old blame game of blaming teenagers and their attitudes will do us absolutely zero favors if we want to actually see some positive change. So I open the floor, those who know me well personally know that I can and will rant but I want to leave the opportunity open for others before I let my very vocal opinions get expressed
  3. FalconWrestling

    Program Health

    I can tell you that I tried to start a program at Butler but the athletic department had no interest. Jtown's days had been numbered for awhile, the AD had been anti-wrestling. But yes on a whole wrestling in Jefferson County is not in a good situation and a lack of viable head coaches is something I consider to be part of the problem
  4. FalconWrestling

    Program Health

    I found this useful table on a lax site hence their numbers are bolded. Interesting to note that the wrestling population drop is recent and we have made gains since the early 2000's but it's been on a decline since 2012 nationwide. 2016 was the first year Cross Country passed Wrestling in participants. B O Y S - P A R T I C I P A T I O N Sport Participants (Thousands) % Change 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 15 16 01 16 Football (11-player) 1109.3 1108.4 1096.0 1086.6 1093.2 1083.6 1083.3 0.0% 7.0% Track & Field (outdoor) 572.1 579.3 575.6 574.5 580.3 578.6 591.1 2.2% 20.2% Basketball 540.2 545.8 535.3 538.7 541.1 541.5 546.4 0.9% 1.2% Baseball 472.6 471.0 474.2 474.8 482.6 486.6 488.8 0.5% 8.5% Soccer 391.8 398.4 411.8 411.0 417.4 432.6 440.3 1.8% 32.3% Wrestling 272.9 273.7 272.1 270.2 269.5 258.2 250.7 -2.9% 2.3% Cross Country 239.6 246.9 248.5 249.2 252.5 251.0 257.7 2.7% 36.8% Tennis 162.8 161.4 159.8 157.2 160.5 157.2 157.2 0.0% 9.4% Golf 157.8 156.9 152.7 152.6 152.6 148.8 146.7 -1.4% -9.3% Swimming & Diving 131.4 133.9 133.8 138.2 138.4 137.1 133.5 -2.6% 50.3% Lacrosse 90.7 95.7 100.6 101.7 106.7 108.5 109.5 1.0% 161.9% Track & Field (indoor) 67.7 70.3 69.4 78.7 73.7 75.2 76.7 2.0% 51.3% Volleyball 50.5 50.0 49.5 50.4 52.1 54.5 55.4 1.6% 39.4% Ice Hockey 36.5 36.9 35.7 35.2 35.4 35.9 35.2 -2.0% 6.2% Bowling 27.7 28.3 27.4 28.4 28.1 29.1 29.6 1.7% 192.5% Team Tennis 28.9 28.4 36.2 33.0 30.5 25.0 25.5 2.1% 112.8%
  5. FalconWrestling

    Program Health

    http://www.nfhs.org/ParticipationStatics/PDF/2014-15_Participation_Survey_Results.pdf From the NFHS, total numbers seem to be going up. Their format is terrible in measuring change over time so I'm still working on that especially in regards to break down by sport. The raw data is all at NFHS but it's a nightmare to turn into charts Also however downvoted my chart dump be my guest but if you don't like bad data then do something about it.
  6. FalconWrestling

    Program Health

    I was debating about going through and recording how many teams are sending teams of five or less but raw region totals serve the same purpose Here are charts showing changes in numbers for each of the regions plus a total at the end with trendlines included I tried to play with the charts to make the vertical scale equal but excel wasn't playing with me on this matter. So please note that the scales aren't equal among the regions but the trend remains the same outside of some exceptions (Region 7 and Region 2). Like I said I wish I had pre-2013 data and of course it will be interesting to see how the data meets the trend line with the uniform change
  7. FalconWrestling

    Program Health

    Well I went and did the math and each one usually rounds up so that the percentage matches the number of teams since Kentucky has been hovering around 100 or so teams in the state, there are some exceptions when we start to get to the higher numbers near the tail end of the calculations. Now of course because of date limitations with track the data is incomplete, does NWCA scorebook even still exist? We are stuck in a situation where it's a lot harder to find data which is unfortunate because there appears to be a downward trend but I am of the school that you need at least a 10 year trend to make a statistic meaningful. So if someone has access to pre-2013 regional brackets or numbers we need those back to at least 2007 2017 11% of the teams sent full (14 wrestlers) to the regional tourney 20% sent 13 or more 27% sent 12 or more 39% sent 11 or more 50% of the teams had 10 or more wrestlers at the region. 2016 15% with full teams 21% 13+ 31% 12+ 43% 11+ 50% 10+ 2015 11% 14 22% 13+ 34% 12+ 48% 11+ 59% 10+ 2014 16% 14 27% 13+ 42% 12+ 53% 11+ 62% 10+ 2013 15% 14 28% 13+ 43% 12+ 52% 11+ 66% 10+ So I graphed the limited data set we had and it came out to this. I made one graph for number of teams with full rosters at regionals and another graph for percentage of teams sending 10+ wrestlers to regionals. Then I just slapped on simple predictive linear trendlines Now obviously these trend lines would be a lot more accurate with data going back to 2007
  8. FalconWrestling

    Program Health

    How has this number changed over time? How does this number compare to other states? How does this number compare to other states in regards to change over time. Obviously I am not asking you to take time out of your life to dig up that information for me, given the time I'll probably just do it myself. Those are just the questions that immediately come to mind when I read that
  9. Just realized that my inbox has been full all this time, why has nobody told me anything? Anyway shooting a quick message your way ranger
  10. FalconWrestling

    Commits thread

    Last I was told by someone in the know he decided not to wrestle in college.
  11. FalconWrestling

    Who all is going to Fargo?

    A Fargo title is something you can carry with pride for the rest of your career
  12. FalconWrestling

    Who all is going to Fargo?

    KENTUCKY Junior Freestyle126 - Ryan Moore 138 - Derrick Witmer 170 - Cory Knoth, Chris Allen285 - Brandon Reed Junior Greco-Roman126 - Ryan Moore 170 - Cory Knoth 285 - Brandon Reed Junior Women106 - Jaine Stephens 127 - Carley O'Neil132 - Hope Miracle200 - Tionna CollinsCadet Freestyle106 - Zeke Escalera 126 - Dalton Russelburg 132 - Payne Carr, Jordan Bates 138 - Alex Rivera 145 - Nathanial Lawrence 152 - Isaiah Newberry, Tony OrnelasCadet Greco-Roman113 - Jarrett Sanders 126 - Dalton Russelburg132 - Payne Carr145 - Nathanial Lawrence Cadet Women106 - Jaine Stephens 127 - Carley O'Neil127 - Courtney Pittman132 - Hope Miracle200 - Tionna Collins
  13. FalconWrestling

    Commits thread

    I could ask him next time I see him. He has more of a 197 frame and his diet seems solid these days. But like Reed he's a bit of a tweener and you have to pick between the big cut or giving up size. Watch Reed and Nevills at Flo to see the difficulty that comes from a big size difference
  14. FalconWrestling

    Commits thread

    Lindsey is going to have a bunch of tough heavyweights in the room with Malala, Jones, and Reed all together
  15. FalconWrestling

    John Carroll Team Camp-NCAA Finalist Added to Staff

    As a former John Carroll wrestler I approve of this
  16. FalconWrestling

    Flo Nationals

    He's currently committed to Lindsey Wilson but I would imagine he turned a lot of heads with that Nevills match. I doubt Reed will decommit from Lindsey Wilson but if I was a D1 coach I think I'd notice the talent and just have to ask about the insane work ethic
  17. FalconWrestling

    David Carr

    Iowa State maybe? Now that Dresser is there
  18. FalconWrestling

    KENTUCKY WRESTLING: LET'S GROW (video)

    I've been a supporter of inviting rookies to spring open mats. It worked out well for us this past season. Brought in a kid who wouldn't wrestle during the season but agreed to try it out in a low stress setting, worked all spring and summer and ended up a state qualifier in his first year
  19. As one of the original knuckleheads I can't even begin to say how important that room was in my development as a wrestler. If you are in the area do not miss the opportunity to work in this room
  20. FalconWrestling

    Looking to help coach, New to Louisville area

    Sent you an email
  21. FalconWrestling

    2017 Summer Programs/Open mats

    Horsepower Wrestling Club @ Moore High School Session 1: March 2nd - March 30th: Thursday's 6:00 - 7:30 Flonationals & NHSCA Virgina Beach Nationals Prep Free to all, must hold valid USA card Like us on FB Horsepower Wrestling Club Follow is on Instagram @horsepower_wc
  22. FalconWrestling

    Summer Programs

    HPWC at Moore in Louisville isn't charging anything, gotta have your USA Wrestling Card though I remember in high school I'm pretty sure I was supposed to pay something to go to Knucklehead Wrestling Club (fantastic wrestling club in Clarksville, Tennessee) but I ended up never paying anything haha.
  23. FalconWrestling

    STATE TOURNEY UPDATES

    I had a couple people in the know tell me day one he was going to win it, Woods did not disappoint those expectations.
  24. FalconWrestling

    STATE TOURNEY UPDATES

    Desmond Lewis from Valley. He had been having health problems the past couple days, I didn't think he would wrestle. I'm really impressed he went out there and gave the performance he's given so far
  25. FalconWrestling

    State Prediction Game 2017

    It's that time of year, time to prove your wrestling knowledge to the collective Kentucky Wrestling community. As always the system goes as follows- you predict the 14 champs at each weight class and assign each wrestler a point title from 1 to 14. For example I'd give Kyle "the prodigy" Snyder my 14 points because he will pin through the tournament but my underdog pick Billy "Scrapper" McUnderdog gets my 1 because he is such a risky pick. Also you are allowed to pick one dark horse based off of Rangers rankings. Whatever they are ranked minus the place they got is the amount of bonus you get. So for example Billy McUnderdog is ranked 19th but finishes 5th so I get 14 extra points. Tie breaker is predicting the team champ followed by how close you get to the actual team score